Equity Estimator
Overview:
The Commercial Equity Estimator uses customer inputs, internal data, and a proprietary FMCC model to estimate vehicle equity. After customers complete a brief vehicle questionnaire, their responses are processed through the valuation model to provide a trade-in value estimate. This estimate is then compared to the vehicle’s 10-day payoff to determine the equity value.
Opportunity:
Commercial retail customers want clarity on the renewal process to make informed, confident decisions. Overall, we aim to increase retail commercial renewals by 20%.
Potential Market Size:
The target market consists of commercial retail customers who finance through Ford Motor Company Credit and are likely to have vehicle equity of $5,000 or more (based on the pre-questionnaire equity estimate). We aim to reach 50,000 customers based on these MVP requirements.
Discovery
User Research
Hypothesis: If customers are prompted with providing details about their vehicles in order to receive a personalized and acurate equity position, then they may be more interested in trading in their vehicle. A survey was therefore created to understand if and how customers would find value in such a solution.
I conducted an A/B test:
Concept A allows customers to enter details about the vehicle overall condition, and then results to providing a summary of their equity estimate. Concept #B notifies the customer’s vehicle has equity and displays a trade-in range value. (Wireframes are shown in Ideation section).
Responses from all 162 surveyors were collected on 12/1/2022
The survey consisted of 10 questions, each with the goal of gaining a better understanding of how our commercial customers interpret and utilize notifications detailing the equity in their vehicles and their available next steps with Ford Credit.
Key Findings:
Personalization. When a customer has the ability to input their own information into the “questionnaire”, there was more acceptance of the equity range accuracy. If a customer knows that their location is a factor, not the national average for example, it provides a more personalized view of their vehicles value.
Upfits and other common modifications should be added to the questionnaire for more accurate estimates.
Mileage and the industry/role it was used for could provide another layer of detail in which to draw up an estimate.
Train and inform dealers about the existence of Equity Estimates so when customers come to them with a number they are prepared, improving the overall CX.
Furthermore: Customers were generally positive about the appraisal range when they could provide data to inform it.
Feasibility: The scope of Concept A requires inputting a few extra details that does not deter from building out the MVP before the deadline.
Impact: Results from user research indicates that customers are more likely to trust the provided value, after completing the questionnaire. Hence: providing customers with more accuracy and information in order to make an informed decision in renewing their vehicle with Ford.
Certainty, Risks & Assumptions
Certainty
Customers want to know their equity position and are motivated to complete a questionnaire about their vehicle to receive a more accurate estimate. Customers prefer an experience where they can tell us about their vehicle’s condition as opposed to one where they do not are given an estimate upfront.
Risks
Because this is not a guaranteed trade-in value, the dealer’s appraisal may not be close enough to the estimated trade-in value causing dissatisfaction.
The valuation model updates weekly therefore customers’ estimated trade-in value will vary week-to-week. Customers may not have the most up-to-date estimate before going to the dealer. To mitigate this risk, there will be clear messaging on the final estimate screen
Unknowns
Storing data once customer completes questionnaire and receives estimate
Define
User Persona
How Might We?
Success Metrics
MVP Primary Success Metrics:
Equity Link Click Rate
Questionnaire Completion Rate
In-experience CTA Click Rates
Post-MVP Success Metrics:
Increase in retail commercial renewals
Ideation
Mid Fidelity Wireframes
2 Mid-Fidelity Wireframes were presented for A/B testing.
Concept A allows customers to input in a few details about their vehicles prior to receiving an estimate. Whereas, Concept B notifies the customer and solely displays the trade in value range.
High Fidelity Wireframe
Testing
~ MVP has yet to be launched ~